In May, inflation in the eurozone unexpectedly increased, due to strong wage pressure. Michael Rasch, a business correspondent for the “Neue Zürcher Zeitung” in Frankfurt am Main, believes that this could cause the European Central Bank (ECB) to miss the optimal timing for raising interest rates again.
Financial market participants predict that the ECB will lower the three key interest rates by 0.25 percentage points each, implementing an anticipated interest rate turnaround. However, many argue that this turnaround may be premature. The inflation rate in the eurozone remains stubbornly high and well above the ECB’s target of 2 percent.
The increase in inflation has been fueled by a sharp increase in collectively agreed wages in the euro area. This has significant potential to exacerbate price increases as wage pressures remain strong. Additionally, economic indicators suggest that moderate growth is occurring within the eurozone, providing room for companies to raise prices further.
With an unemployment rate at a record low and signs of economic recovery on the horizon, arguments for interest rate cuts are diminishing. Furthermore, reducing interest rates could widen the interest rate differential with the United States and potentially weaken the euro against the dollar and increase inflation through higher import prices.
Despite pressure from financial markets for further interest rate cuts, it may be more prudent for
