Treasurer Jim Chalmers has expressed concerns about the impact of events in the Middle East on the global economy. He stated that these events, along with issues related to inflation and weak growth, will play a significant role in shaping the government’s budget in May. Following his attendance at meetings of G20 finance ministers and central bankers in Washington, Chalmers emphasized the need for responsibility and security in the upcoming budget.
In an effort to address cost-of-living pressures, repair the budget, and reform the economy to mitigate risks amid escalating global challenges, Chalmers highlighted the importance of addressing these issues. The Treasury is expected to downgrade its growth forecasts for major trading partners such as China, Japan, and Britain. While the forecast for China in 2024 has been revised up slightly to 4.75%, the outlook for next year has been lowered by 0.25 percentage points to 4.25%. Similarly, Japan’s forecast for this year has been reduced by 0.25 percentage points to 0.75%.
Despite expectations of reporting a budget surplus for the year ended June 30, the government anticipates a smaller revenue upgrade compared to the previous year. This is attributed to falling commodity prices and a softening labor market. The government’s focus on fiscal responsibility and economic reform is seen as a crucial response to the uncertain global economic conditions.
