The Rise of Populism in Germany: The Surprising Success of the AfD and Its Implications for Europe

What motivates numerous neighbors to support the far right?

In the aftermath of the June 2019 European elections, Germany’s public was left feeling dismayed. The far-right Alternative for Germany, or AfD, emerged as the country’s second largest European party with 15.9 percent of the vote. This marked a significant milestone in German politics, as it was the first time since World War II that a far-right party had become a mainstream force in the country.

The election results were particularly pronounced in East and West Germany, two regions that continue to be divided by the legacies of communism and Western democracy, economic winners and losers. The AfD won in all East German states, while the Christian Democrats secured victory in West Germany.

As I live north of Berlin in Oranienburg, I witnessed firsthand how this election had a profound impact on my community. While just 30 kilometers away from the heart of Berlin, this town has seen many people move away from the capital over the years. Yet despite its distance from Berlin, it is clear that many residents here are deeply concerned about their future and voted for change.

In Oranienburg, almost a third of votes went to the AfD – 28.5 percent to be exact – which may seem surprising to some observers looking at neatly cut lawns and quiet streets. But when you talk to neighbors who voted for this party, it becomes clear that they are deeply dissatisfied with their current situation and feel like they have been left behind by traditional political parties.

While there is no denying that AfD’s racist language and connections with neo-Nazis are troubling for many Germans – especially given their country’s history with Nazi persecution – it is also important to acknowledge that these same values resonate strongly with many citizens who feel marginalized and disenfranchised by mainstream politics.

As we move forward towards state elections in East Germany later this year and national parliamentary elections in 2025, it is likely that we will see more populist victories across Europe – including potentially a victory party for the Christian Democrats and AfD together if current polling trends continue unchecked.

Despite these challenges though, there are also signs of hope as more people recognize that extreme right wing policies only benefit a small minority of society while leaving many others behind. It remains to be seen whether these voices can overcome those who seek division and hate but one thing is clear: our democracy depends on it.

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