In the midst of summer and on the eve of the final day of the election campaign, uncertainty continues to loom over France. The National Regrouping, once known as the National Front under Marine Le Pen, is poised to secure a strong majority in the polls, threatening President Emmanuel Macron’s authority and disrupting governability as legislative elections approach.
With just two days before the first round of legislative elections, polling shows that the National Regrouping leads with 36% of voting intentions, followed by the New Popular Front at 27.5% and the presidential party at 20%. The Republicans are at 9%. Projections suggest that if this trend continues into the second rounds in all 577 electoral districts, it could result in a solid majority for the National Regrouping in the National Assembly.
However, uncertainties remain as political parties continue to give voting instructions. A significant portion of voters may not follow these instructions, raising concerns about the composition of second-round candidates and their potential impact on French society.
The prospect of a strong presence of far-right and revolutionary left forces in the National Assembly raises fears among democrats. Some worry that such an outcome could lead to significant clashes with President Macron and disrupt his ability to govern effectively.
If elected as prime minister, Jordan Bardella, a young figure in the far right, could face challenges balancing power within government and managing conflict with President Macron on key issues such as defense and immigration. Bardella’s stance on defense has been particularly controversial regarding France’s role in NATO and its involvement in conflicts abroad. His stance on immigration has also raised concerns among minorities and immigrants about their status and security within France.
As details emerge about Bardella’s potential government plan, tensions continue to rise among minorities, immigrants, and French citizens of Muslim descent who fear that Le Penism threatens their rights and freedoms. Some have even expressed concern about fleeing France if such an outcome becomes reality.
The emotional turmoil and political tensions leading up to these elections reflect a broader societal unease within France. The potential shifts in power balance are sources of deep concern for many French citizens who fear what this could mean for national policies regarding defense, immigration, social welfare programs, economic growth or international relations.
As we approach election day, it is clear that this moment represents a critical juncture in France’s political landscape; one where every vote counts towards shaping its future direction
