Oil Prices Surge as U.S. Economy Optimism Outweighs Inflation Concerns, Supply Tensions Linger in the Middle East

On Friday, oil prices increased as investors responded to statements from the U.S. Treasury secretary indicating that the country’s economy may be stronger than initially thought. Despite weak first-quarter data, Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen suggested in an interview with Reuters that GDP growth for the first quarter could be revised higher once more data is available and inflation is expected to return to more normal levels after certain unusual factors affected the economy’s performance.

Before Yellen’s comments, worries about escalating inflation had been affecting oil prices, with investors speculating that the Federal Reserve might delay interest rate cuts until September. However, supply concerns also heightened as tensions continued to rise in the Middle East. Israel increased airstrikes on Rafah in Gaza and indicated plans for a significant military assault, despite warnings from allies about potential mass casualties. The situation in the region contributed to the overall uncertainty surrounding oil markets.

Brent crude futures rose by 0.38% to $89.35 a barrel, while U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures increased by 0.39% to $83.90 a barrel. The release of Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) inflation data for March on Friday will be closely monitored by the Fed as it aims to achieve its 2% inflation target.